Coalescent simulation refers to the idea of simulating the evolution of biological sequences like DNA by tracing their ancestry back in time. The `coala`

package is an interface for calling a number of commonly used coalescent simulators from R. It should be able to use the simulator `scrm`

out of the box. Other simulators need to be installed separately and must be activated explicitly. This is described in the `installation`

vignette:

In this introduction we will stick to using `scrm`

.

In order to conduct simulations, we first need to specify the components of the simulation model. The function `coal_model`

creates a basic coalescent model:

This creates a basic model with one population of constant size. One genetic locus for three haplotypes is sampled from the population.

Printing the model gives a short summary of this content:

```
## Features: Sampling of 3 (pop 1) individuals with ploidy 1 at time `0`
##
## Parameter: None
##
## Loci: 1 locus of length 1000
##
## Summary Statistics: None
##
## Simulator: scrm
## Command: scrm 3 1
```

Models consist of

*features*, which represent evolutionary forces and events present in the model,*parameters*, which are the model parameters,*loci*, which describe the genetic regions that are simulated and*summary statistics*, which describe the format of the simulated data.

In order to simulate the model we need to add a few more features and at least one summary statistic.

For simulating sequences, we need to add mutations to the model. To do so, we create a corresponding feature using `feat_mutation`

and add it to the existing model using the plus operator:

```
## Features:
## * Sampling of 3 (pop 1) individuals with ploidy 1 at time `0`
## * Mutations with rate `1` following a IFS mutation model
##
## Parameter: None
##
## Loci: 1 locus of length 1000
##
## Summary Statistics: None
##
## Simulator: scrm
## Command: scrm 3 1 -t 1
```

Now, mutations occur with rate 1 and according to an infinite-sites mutation model (IFS). Details of rate and mutation model are given in the help page of the feature (`?feat_mutation`

).

Coala currently support the features

```
## [1] "feat_growth" "feat_ignore_singletons"
## [3] "feat_migration" "feat_mutation"
## [5] "feat_outgroup" "feat_pop_merge"
## [7] "feat_recombination" "feat_selection"
## [9] "feat_size_change" "feat_unphased"
```

However, not all combination of all features might be possible. Please refer to the features help pages for detailed information.

If we build a model consisting of multiple populations, we need to state the sample sizes as a vector of sample sizes for the different populations. The lines,

```
model <- coal_model(sample_size = c(5, 2, 0), loci_number = 1) +
feat_migration(rate = 0.5, symmetric = TRUE) +
feat_pop_merge(0.5, 3, 2) +
feat_pop_merge(0.8, 2, 1)
```

create a model of three populations, with a symmetric migration rate of `0.5`

between them. When viewed backwards in time, population 3 merges into population 2 `0.5`

coalescent time units in the past and population 2 into population 1 `0.3`

time units further into the past. Looking forwards in time, this represents two speciation events with migration going on afterwards. At time `0`

five haploids are sampled from population 1 and two from population 2. Please note that sample sizes for all populations must be given, even if no haploid is sampled from a population, as it is the case for population 3 here.

Adding summary statistics works in a similar fashion as adding features:

```
## Features:
## * Sampling of 3 (pop 1) individuals with ploidy 1 at time `0`
## * Mutations with rate `1` following a IFS mutation model
## * Generating Seg. Sites
##
## Parameter: None
##
## Loci: 1 locus of length 1000
##
## Summary Statistics: stat_segsites
##
## Simulator: scrm
## Command: scrm 3 1 -t 1
```

This adds the *segregating sites* summary statistic to the model, which is a basic summary statistic in population genetics. Again, refer to `?sumstat_seg_sites`

for details.

Available summary statistics are:

```
## [1] "sumstat_class" "sumstat_dna"
## [3] "sumstat_file" "sumstat_four_gamete"
## [5] "sumstat_ihh" "sumstat_jsfs"
## [7] "sumstat_mcmf" "sumstat_nucleotide_div"
## [9] "sumstat_omega" "sumstat_seg_sites"
## [11] "sumstat_sfs" "sumstat_tajimas_d"
## [13] "sumstat_trees"
```

Now we can simulate the model. The printed output of a model contains information which program will be used for the simulation and which arguments will be used. As coala is in an early stage, please make sure to always check both.

The function `simulate`

will call the program with the printed options, parse its output and calculated the added summary statistics:

The returned object `sumstats`

is a list, in which each entry corresponds to one summary statistic. As there is only one summary statistic in our model, the list has only one entry:

`## [1] "seg_sites" "pars" "cmds" "simulator"`

The structure in `sumstats$seg_sites`

is given by the segregating sites statistic. It is again a list, where each entry represents one locus. For each locus, it contains a matrix as specified in `?sumstat_seg_sites`

:

```
## 0.1041606 0.4223301
## [1,] 0 0
## [2,] 1 1
## [3,] 1 1
```

If we want to have more loci in a model, we can add them using the `locus_`

functions. The most basic option is to add an additional locus with a different length:

```
## Features:
## * Sampling of 3 (pop 1) individuals with ploidy 1 at time `0`
## * Mutations with rate `1` following a IFS mutation model
## * Generating Seg. Sites
##
## Parameter: None
##
## Loci:
## * 1 locus of length 1000
## * 1 locus of length 500
##
## Summary Statistics: stat_segsites
##
## Simulator: scrm
## Command: scrm 3 2 -t 1
```

Now the model consists of two loci, the first with length 1000, the second with 500. Simulation now produces a segregating sites list with two entries corresponding to the loci:

```
## 0.3144767 0.4034762
## [1,] 0 0
## [2,] 0 0
## [3,] 1 1
```

```
## 0.919158
## [1,] 1
## [2,] 0
## [3,] 0
```

Another possibility is to add multiple loci with the same length using `locus_averaged`

, which gives better performance than adding the loci one by one. For example

`## [1] 4`

adds two more loci with length of 750bp to the model.

So far, we have used a model without parameters that can vary between simulations. In particular for fitting a model to data via ABC or Jaatha, it is useful to add parameters to a previous model instead of creating a new model for each simulation.

Named parameters values can be specified in the simulation command. If we want, for example, to launch simulations for a model with different values of the mutation rate, we can use a named parameter:

A parameter distributed according to a prior can be specified using the `par_prior`

function. The functionâ€™s first argument is a name for the parameter, the second an expression that, when evaluated, produces a sample from the prior distribution.

So if we want the mutation to follow a uniform distribution between `0`

and `10`

, we can use:

```
model <- coal_model(5, 1) +
feat_mutation(rate = par_prior("theta", runif(1, 0, 10))) +
sumstat_seg_sites()
sumstats <- simulate(model)
sumstats$pars
```

```
## theta
## 6.499852
```

```
## theta
## 4.778454
```

For simulations that will we used for parameter inference with the R package `jaatha`

, you need to give a range of possible values for each parameter. This is done using `par_range`

. For instance

sets a possible range from *0.1* to *5* for the mutation rate. The actual rate is given in the `simulate`

function, just as with named parameters.

Finally, there is a very powerful type of parameters generated with `par_expr`

. Similar to parameters with priors, the value of the parameter is given as an R expression, which is evaluated before simulation. Unlinke `par_prior`

, this expression can contain other named parameters. For example

```
model <- coal_model(4, 2) +
feat_mutation(rate = par_named("theta")) +
feat_recombination(rate = par_expr(theta * 2))
```

creates a model with a a recombination rate that always is twice as high as the mutation rate.